Nvidia Stock Up 189%+ YTD as Investors Anticipate Q3 Results
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Nvidia Stock Up 189%+ YTD as Investors Anticipate Q3 Results

Nvidia is expected to report strong third-quarter earnings driven by significant growth in its Data Center and gaming segments.
Neither the author, Tim Fries, nor this website, The Tokenist, provide financial advice. Please consult our website policy prior to making financial decisions.

Nvidia Corporation (NASDAQ: NVDA) is poised to release its third-quarter earnings, with analysts projecting earnings per share (EPS) of $0.74 on revenue of $33 billion.

The technology giant, known for its innovations in graphics processing units and artificial intelligence (AI), continues to capture market attention with robust growth expectations across its key segments. The Data Center segment is anticipated to generate $29 billion, marking a 100% increase from the previous year, while gaming revenue is expected to rise by 7% to $3 billion.

Gross margins are forecasted to hover around 75%, reflecting the company’s efficiency in managing production costs and maximizing profitability. As Nvidia contends with Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) for the title of the most valuable publicly traded company by market capitalization, investors are keenly watching for any updates from CEO Jensen Huang on the highly anticipated Blackwell AI chips, set to ramp up production in the fourth quarter.

NVDA Faces High Expectations, Stock Likely to See High Volatility with a +/- 9% Move Expected

Nvidia has established a reputation for exceeding Wall Street expectations in recent quarters, having surpassed analyst EPS estimates in seven of the last eight quarters by an average of 15%. This consistent outperformance has historically driven the company’s stock upward, with an average post-earnings rise of more than 9%. Year-to-date, Nvidia’s stock has surged by an impressive 189% (at the time of writing).

However, past performance also highlights the volatility associated with high expectations; Nvidia’s stock dipped by 6% following the second-quarter earnings despite beating expectations, underscoring the high bar set by the market.

As the third-quarter results approach, the implied volatility on options suggests a potential stock movement of +/- 9%, emphasizing the market’s anticipation and the potential for significant price swings based on the latest financial disclosures.

Nvidia Stock Brief

As of November 19, 2024, Nvidia’s stock opened at $141.325 and reached a current price of $143.18 at the time of writing, with intraday fluctuations between a low of $140.99 and a high of $143.55.

This positions the stock closer to its 52-week high of $149.77, far above its 52-week low of $45.01, reflecting the company’s substantial growth trajectory over the past year. Nvidia’s market capitalization stands at a staggering $3.56 trillion, supported by strong financial metrics, including a trailing PE ratio of 67.22 and a forward PE ratio of 34.18.

Despite a modest dividend yield of 0.03% on a dividend rate of $0.04, the stock’s robust price-to-book ratio of 60.46 and a low debt-to-equity ratio of 17.221 highlight the company’s solid financial health and investor appeal. Analysts maintain a “Strong Buy” recommendation with a mean target price of $160.67, indicating confidence in further upside potential.

Investors are eagerly awaiting Nvidia’s guidance for the fourth quarter, with revenue expectations set at $37 billion. The focus will be on CEO Jensen Huang’s insights regarding the Blackwell AI chips, particularly in terms of supply and demand dynamics, which could significantly impact future earnings and market positioning.

Nvidia’s ability to navigate these dynamics will be crucial in maintaining its competitive edge in the rapidly evolving AI landscape. The company’s strategic investments and innovations continue to capture investor interest, driving expectations of sustained growth and profitability.

Disclaimer: The author does not hold or have a position in any securities discussed in the article.


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