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Cisco Shares Fall in Premarket After Soft Guidance for Full Fiscal Year

Cisco reported quarterly EPS and revenue that beat estimates, but its shares fell 11% due to gloomy Q2 and full-year guidance.

Cisco Shares Fall in Premarket After Guidance Fell Short
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Cisco (NASDAQ: CSCO) reported better-than-expected earnings and revenue for the fiscal first quarter. However, the networking hardware company slashed guidance for the fiscal Q2 and full fiscal year due to declining new product orders, sending its shares plummeting over 11% in the premarket. 

Cisco Beats Earnings and Revenue Estimates, Cuts Outlook

Cisco shares are down 11% in Thursday’s premarket following the company’s discouraging financial report for the fiscal Q1 2024. 

The maker of networking hardware equipment reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.11, topping the consensus estimates of $1.03. Net income stood at $3.64 billion, or 89 cents a share, up from $2.67 billion, or 65 cents per share, in the same period last year.

Revenue also came above consensus projections. The company generated $14.67 billion in revenue in the quarter, while analysts were looking for $14.61 billion. Year-over-year, it increased by 7.6%.

However, what caused the stock price decline was Cisco’s guidance for the current Q2 and the full fiscal year. Notably, the tech company expects adjusted EPS of 82 cents to 84 cents in the fiscal second quarter, on revenue of $12.6 billion to $12.8 billion. This implies a revenue decline of 6.6% and falls short of Wall Street’s estimates of 99 cents and $14.19 billion for EPS and revenue, respectively.

Cisco also trimmed its full-year forecast range for revenue to $53.8 billion to $55 billion, compared to the estimated $57.67 billion. However, it raised adjusted earnings estimates to $3.87 to $3.93, up from the previous range of $3.19 to $3.32 but still below the consensus projection of $4.05 a share. 

During the first quarter, Cisco acquired cybersecurity service provider Splunk for $28 billion.

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Cisco Faces a Slowdown in New Product Orders

The key factor behind the guidance trim is a deceleration in new product orders, Cisco said in the earnings release. This is primarily because the company’s clients are occupied with installing and implementing products following robust deliveries in the preceding three quarters.

“Our customers and our sales organizations have been very clear with us over the last 90 days that this is the issue,” Cisco CEO Chuck Robbins told analysts during the conference call. However, sales cycles remain longer than usual, he added.

Looking ahead, Cisco anticipates that a backlog of shipped products, covering one or two quarters, is awaiting implementation. The company’s shares are up 11.1% in 2023, underperforming the broader S&P 500

Considering the decline in product orders, the stock may face additional pressure in the short term, especially if the slowdown worsens.

Do you think Cisco’s stock market gains will remain muted throughout the final weeks of 2023? Let us know in the comments below. 

Tim Fries

Tim Fries

Author · Tokenist

Tim Fries is the cofounder of The Tokenist. He has a B. Sc. in Mechanical Engineering from the University of Michigan, and an MBA from the University of Chicago Booth School of Business. Tim served as a Senior Associate on the investment team at RW Baird's US Private Equity division, and is also the co-founder of Protective Technologies Capital, an investment firm specializing in sensing, protection and control solutions.

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