Why Did Opendoor (OPEN) Stock Jump 18%? Strong Q4 Results Fuel Rally
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Why Did Opendoor (OPEN) Stock Jump 18%? Strong Q4 Results Fuel Rally

Opendoor stock jumped 18% in premarket trading after the company beat Q4 revenue and adjusted EBITDA estimates.
Neither the author, Tim Fries, nor this website, The Tokenist, provide financial advice. Please consult our website policy prior to making financial decisions.

Opendoor Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ: OPEN) shares surged roughly 18% in premarket trading on February 20, 2026, following the release of its fourth-quarter 2025 earnings after market close the prior evening. The San Francisco-based iBuyer delivered revenue and adjusted EBITDA results that exceeded Wall Street consensus estimates, convincing investors that its “Opendoor 2.0” transformation strategy is beginning to bear fruit.

Despite a steep GAAP net loss driven by a one-time debt extinguishment charge, the market focused on accelerating home acquisition volumes and meaningful operational improvements across the business.

Q4 Update: Higher Home Purchases and Better Execution

Opendoor reported Q4 2025 revenue of $736 million, comfortably beating the Wall Street consensus of approximately $577–$594 million, and adjusted EBITDA of -$43 million came in better than the -$49 million consensus estimate

. These headline beats provided the catalyst for the after-hours and premarket rally, with shares climbing 13% in Thursday after-hours trade before extending gains to roughly 18% in Friday premarket. The results signaled that the company’s pricing discipline and inventory management are beginning to translate into measurable financial improvement.

The GAAP EPS figure of -$1.26 per share was a significant miss against the -$0.11 consensus, but investors largely looked past it. The loss was inflated by a $933 million charge related to debt extinguishment, a non-recurring item tied to the company’s balance sheet restructuring. S

tripping out that charge, the underlying operational performance told a much more encouraging story. The company also reported contribution profit of $7 million for the quarter, though this lagged the $13 million Visible Alpha consensus.

Among the most closely watched operational metrics, total homes purchased rose 46% quarter-over-quarter, reflecting a renewed push to scale acquisitions after a prolonged period of caution. The percentage of homes sitting on the market for more than 120 days fell sharply to 33%, down from 51% in Q3 2025, a strong signal that inventory is turning faster and pricing has become more accurate.

CEO Kaz Nejatian credited structural improvements in how the company operates: “More accurate pricing, faster inventory turns, and disciplined selection. The evidence of progress is clear.”

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OPEN Stock Brief: Premarket Move and Key Metrics

As of the premarket session on February 20, 2026 at approximately 5:56 AM EST, OPEN was trading at $5.48, up $0.83 or roughly +17.85% from its prior close of $4.63. The stock closed February 19 at $4.65, up just 0.43% on the regular session before the earnings release ignited after-hours buying. The intraday range on February 19 was $4.48 to $4.84, and the 52-week range spans a wide $0.51 to $10.87, reflecting just how volatile this stock has been over the past year.

On a trailing one-year basis, OPEN has returned an impressive +201.95%, vastly outpacing the S&P 500’s +11.68% gain over the same period. However, the stock remains down about 20% year-to-date through February 19, and its five-year return of -85.28% is a reminder of how severely the iBuying model was punished during the post-pandemic housing downturn.

The market cap as of the close stood at approximately $4.44 billion, with an enterprise value of around $5.06 billion. Analyst price targets range from $1.00 on the low end to $8.00 on the high end, with the average sitting at $4.33, just below the current trading price, suggesting the post-earnings move has pushed shares slightly ahead of the consensus view.

Looking ahead, Opendoor guided for Q1 2026 revenue of approximately $662 million, about 10% below Q4’s $736 million, and an adjusted EBITDA loss in the low-to-mid $30 million range — an improvement from Q4’s -$43 million. The company also expects Q1 contribution margin to be its highest since Q2 2024.

Most critically, management reiterated its goal of achieving positive adjusted net income on a rolling 12-month basis by the end of 2026, a target that investors will be watching closely as the ultimate proof point of the Opendoor 2.0 transformation.

Disclaimer: The author does not hold or have a position in any securities discussed in the article. All stock prices were quoted at the time of writing.